As I sit down to analyze Baylor Football's upcoming 2024 season, I can't help but draw parallels to that electrifying moment in combat sports when ONE Championship's CEO Chatri Sityodtong declared Joshua's undisputed status after his epic performance. That same energy of established dominance and breakthrough potential is exactly what I'm sensing around this Baylor squad as we approach what could be a program-defining year. Having followed Dave Aranda's rebuilding process since his arrival, I've watched this team transform from promising to potentially dominant, and 2024 feels like the culmination of that journey.
The quarterback situation deserves our immediate attention because frankly, it's the most exciting it's been in years. Sawyer Robertson returns with a full season of starting experience under his belt, and I've noticed significant improvements in his decision-making during spring practices. His completion percentage jumped from 58% in early 2023 to nearly 65% in the final four games, showing remarkable development when it mattered most. What really excites me about Robertson isn't just his arm strength - which is considerable - but his growing understanding of defensive schemes. I watched him dissect TCU's secondary in their season finale, and the poise he showed suggests we're looking at a different player this year. Behind him, incoming freshman Alex Ervin brings a dual-threat capability that could add fascinating dimensions to the offense if called upon.
Looking at the schedule, three games stand out to me as absolute season-definers. The September 28th showdown against Air Force at McLane Stadium strikes me as particularly crucial. Last year's 17-14 loss still stings, and I believe this rematch will tell us everything about Baylor's mental toughness. Then there's the October 19th road game against Utah - personally, I think this might be the toughest environment Baylor faces all season. Having attended games at Rice-Eccles Stadium before, I can attest to the overwhelming noise and energy that visiting teams confront there. But what really gets my blood pumping is the November 16th matchup against Texas Tech in Arlington. This rivalry game always delivers drama, and with both programs trending upward, I'm predicting this could be the most watched game of Baylor's season, potentially drawing over 85,000 spectators to AT&T Stadium.
The defensive side of the ball features what I consider to be Baylor's secret weapon - linebacker Matt Jones. Having watched every snap of his freshman and sophomore years, I've seen his tackle numbers increase from 47 to 89, and I'm projecting he'll break the 100-tackle mark this season. His football IQ is exceptional for his age, and I've noticed how he consistently positions himself in passing lanes, disrupting timing routes that other linebackers might not even recognize. Alongside Jones, cornerback transfer Marcus Washington from Ohio State brings immediate Power Five experience to what was occasionally a vulnerable secondary last season. I watched his tape from the Buckeyes' 2022 campaign, and his man coverage skills against elite receivers like Marvin Harrison Jr. convinced me he'll be lockdown corner material in the Big 12.
Offensively, while Robertson gets most of the attention, I'm particularly fascinated by running back Richard Reese's potential comeback season. After rushing for 972 yards as a freshman, his production dipped to just over 600 yards last year, but I've seen flashes of his old explosiveness in offseason workouts. The offensive line returns four starters, including what I believe might be the best tackle duo in the conference - Campbell Barrington and Elijah Ellis. Their combined 56 starts give Baylor the kind of experienced protection that can control games, and I'm expecting them to help the offense average at least 190 rushing yards per game, up from last season's 145.
Special teams often get overlooked, but having seen how close games in the Big 12 typically are, I'm paying special attention to kicker Isaiah Hankins. His field goal percentage improved from 72% to 84% between his sophomore and junior years, and if he can maintain that trajectory, he could be the difference in two or three games this season. I've watched him nail 55-yarders in practice with consistency, suggesting his range has expanded significantly.
As we approach the season opener, what strikes me most about this Baylor team is their collective maturity. Much like Chatri Sityodtong's definitive assessment of Joshua's strawweight dominance, I'm seeing similar indicators of a team ready to establish their authority in the conference. They've got experience where it matters, emerging stars in crucial positions, and what appears to be genuine team chemistry. The schedule presents challenges, certainly, but I believe this squad has the talent and coaching to navigate it successfully. My prediction? Baylor finishes with at least nine regular season wins and makes a strong case for the Big 12 Championship game. The pieces are there - now we get to watch them come together on the field.